Wichita Falls, TX — Early November has been calm and comfortable across the Red River Valley, but forecasters warn that the weather could turn sharply colder around Thanksgiving, bringing the first real taste of winter to the region.
An outlook from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center issued October 24, 2025, points to a warmer, mostly dry pattern holding through mid-November for North Texas, southern Oklahoma, and western Arkansas—meaning early snow remains unlikely for now. The back half of the month, however, may tell a different story.
As the jet stream dips south later in November, colder Canadian air could spill into the southern Plains, sending nighttime temperatures into the 30s and 40s. Most communities would face frost and a chilly rain, but if the incoming front strengthens, brief flurries can’t be ruled out in northern Oklahoma or at higher elevations near the Ouachita Mountains in the days leading up to Thanksgiving.
For the moment, it’s a classic fall setup: mild afternoons with a few crisp mornings. Still, it’s worth keeping a jacket—and a windshield scraper—within reach. One strong front could make it feel like winter overnight. Stay tuned to local forecasts as the holiday approaches, since details can change quickly.
Leave a Comment